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EU Will Reap What US Sows: Who Benefits From Looming Global Food Crisis_我的网站

A |     Russian Minister of Agriculture Dmitry Patrushev weighed in on the issue of global food security on Friday, warning that a crisis of planetary proportions is taking shape.,“The situation in global markets is difficult, especially for wheat. This season, due to a number of factors, including drought in the US and Europe, floods in Australia and bad weather in India, the global supply of milling wheat will drop. Also, due to climate anomalies, a decrease in the quality of wheat in North America is expected, first and foremost in the United States. All of this, together with logistical restrictions, could lead to serious risks in terms of global food security in the current agricultural year,” Patrushev said, speaking to ministry officials in Bashkiria.,Patrushev updated officials on the state of Russia’s harvesting campaign, saying about 27 percent of the fields have been cultivated, with 55 million tons of grain collected – a good indicator, but far below yields shown a year ago, thanks to a cold spring, poor weather and problems with obtaining parts for foreign-made agricultural equipment.,“Altogether, this creates risks in terms of achieving [the planned] grain harvest of 130 million tons. Of course, we will fully provide for the domestic market, there will not be any problems with this. However, if the planned volumes are not reached, we will have to revise our export target of 50 million tons, and this may have a negative impact on the world grain market,” the minister warned.,Russian Agriculture Ministry Warns of Risks to Global Food Security in Current Crop Year 5 August, 09:08 GMT,Sanctions Food for Thought,The United States and Europe got a rude awakening in the spring when the nations of the Global South refused to join them in slapping sanctions on Russia after it kicked off its special military operation in Ukraine. While the US, Canada, the UK, the European Union, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand drafted thousands upon thousands of new restrictions against Moscow, not a single country in Latin America, Africa, the Middle East, or non-US allied East Asia has joined them so far.,The developing world’s quest for food security, and Russia’s status as a major global exporter of both grains and fertilizers, is undoubtedly an important factor in calculations made by regional leaders when it comes to sanctions.,At the same time, the Global South has not been spared the consequences of the West’s secondary restrictions. African Union chief and Senegalese President Macky Sall outlined the scope of the problem in June, telling Russian President Vladimir Putin that sanctions had “aggravated the situation with the supply of grains and fertilizers to African countries,” and sparked “a serious threat to food security” for the continent.,AfricaAnti-Russia Sanctions Left Africa Without Access to Grain and Fertilisers, African Union Chief Says3 June, 11:13 GMT,Notwithstanding concerns about global food security going back to the COVID crisis of 2020 and 2021, which wreaked havoc on supply chains and aggravated economic pain across much of the developing world, the US and its allies unflinchingly and nearly instantaneously slapped agriculture- and fertilizer-related sanctions on Russia and its ally, Belarus, in February and March of 2022.,Oleg Kobiakov, director of the UN Food and Agriculture Organization’s Russian liaison office, recently revealed that his agency estimates that some 828 million people were suffering from hunger at the end of 2021, with their numbers increasing by some 150 million people compared to the pre-COVID year 2019. Amid the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis and Western sanctions, Kobiakov stressed the importance of the FAO-proposed international fund to support the export of food, fertilizers, and energy to assist developing countries, particularly in Africa.,Western Sanctions, Global Consequences,The sanctions slapped on Russia in the spring of 2022, which included direct restrictions on food and fertilizer exports, plus efforts to limit Russia’s trade in agricultural commodities with third countries via so-called secondary sanctions on cargo ships or insurance providers, have already had a noticeable impact on food security, not only in the Global South, but the very heart of the so-called "First World" as well.,Earlier this year, German media sounded the alarm after calculating that the country’s farmers stand to lose some three million tons of agricultural output thanks to sanctions. In June, Bild reported that nearly one in six Germans is forced to skip meals thanks to out-of-control hikes in food prices.,In neighboring Poland, local media reported this week that Ukrainian wheat supplies flooding into the country were causing a “catastrophic” dampening of prices for domestic producers. “If the situation doesn’t improve, there will be riots in the countryside!” a farmer in Plonsk told a Wyborcza correspondent.,In Italy, the National Institute of Statistics has reported a double-digit jump in prices for flour and pasta, with prices for the staple components of Italian cooking growing between 18 and 21.5 percent year-on-year in July, and the cost of cooking oil spiking by a whopping 66 percent.,RussiaLIVE UPDATES: First Bulker With Ukrainian Grain Reaches Istanbul2 August, 05:00 GMT,Food insecure regions of the planet have fared even worse. According to a recent estimate by international aid agency Mercy Corps, flour prices in Lebanon, which depends on Russia and Ukraine for over 80 percent of its wheat flower needs, have jumped over 200 percent since the escalation of the Ukraine crisis.,For many countries, the Ukrainian emergency has only served to exacerbate an array of already existing problems. In Morocco, for example, Agriculture Minister Mohammed Sadiki reported in the spring that the country expects to lose up to 53 percent of its grain harvest this year due to the worst drought of the decade. The Horn of Africa faces similar worries amid the worst regional drought in 40 years. In Ethiopia, Somalia and Kenya, over 18 million people face hunger, and British charitable group Oxfam International fears that as many as 350,000 children could die from malnutrition this year in Somalia alone.,Earlier this year, the UN’s Refugee Agency calculated that the numbers of people forced to flee their homes in search of a better life had reached its highest-ever recorded number, with food scarcity, inflation, and the climate crisis adding to existing hardships and stretching humanitarian resources to the breaking point. According to the World Food Program, the number of people suffering from hunger could increase by 30-50 million people, with the poorest countries of Africa including Somalia, Sudan, the Central African Republic, Chad, and Congo expected to be hit hardest.,RussiaFighting Africa's Food Crisis: Russia Strengthening Ties and Stretching Helping Hand to Kenya3 August, 10:08 GMT,In June, the WFP warned that in Latin America too, food inflation is threatening to cause a migration wave of Biblical proportions amid calculations that some 14 million people across 13 countries are threatened with “extreme” food insecurity – up from 8.3 million in late 2021, if the current crisis continues.,“All of you are watching caravans, caravans of migrants moving, and before we used to talk about migration from the north of Central America, but now, unfortunately, we talk about migration being hemispheric. We have the whole continent on the move,” WEF Latin America and the Caribbean region coordinator Lola Castro told reporters.,Good for the Goose, But Not the Gander?,Last month, on the heels of the signing of the Russia-Ukraine-UN grain deal, the US Treasury reversed course on a number of food and fertilizer sanctions directives, “clarifying” in a fact sheet that it would no longer threaten secondary restrictions for the purchase or transport of Russian agricultural commodities. For the domestic market, Washington quietly eased restrictions on Russian agricultural products, including fertilizers, back in March, after the domestic farming lobby warned of out-of-control price hikes and possible food shortages.,Brussels, which joined Washington in slapping tough restrictions on Moscow in the spring, did not follow suit in easing them until late last month, after the damage to domestic and international markets had already been done.,WorldEU Reportedly Set to Unfreeze Some Russian Bank Funds for Food, Fertilizer Trade19 July, 10:26 GMT,Biden administration National Economic Council director Brian Deese raised eyebrows late last month when he boasted that compared to the rest of the world, the United States is in a better position to weather the global food security crisis.,“With respect to food, we’re a net exporter of agricultural commodities. Obviously the high prices are hitting Americans very hard, but in a way that is different from some places that are facing famine for example,” Deese said.,Biden economic advisor Brian Deese says the U.S. is doing better economically than other countries because we’re not in a “famine” pic.twitter.com/2JwO7YneOI— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) July 27, 2022,Biden’s detractors blasted the White House over Deese’s comments, suggesting it was absurd to lower the bar on the administration’s economic performance to the point where it was bragging that "at least the US isn’t facing famine." However, in the broader scheme of things, and amid the global food security crisis artificially exacerbated by Washington and its allies using sanctions, Deese isn’t wrong, with other countries, including many of the US’ allies, suffering much more.,Quo Vadis?,Serbia, home to the so-called “Balkan route” for migration during the 2015 European migrant crisis, has recently reported a major uptick in immigration amid the global food crisis.,On July 20, Serbian Commissioner for Refugees and Migration Vladimir Cucic indicated that the number of migrants traveling through Serbia had jumped 55 percent in 2022, with the number of people from Africa, Asia and the Middle East using the country as a transit state reaching 68,000, and expected to hit 100,000 before the end of the year. Cucic is confident that the global food crisis is directly responsible for the migration uptick, which he said has hit Africa, Pakistan, Bangladesh, parts of India and other Asian nations hardest.,“Hunger is forcing more and more people to move on out. You’re not going to wait and see how your children die from hunger, you will give them everything you have and tell them "get out of here!’” the official stressed.,UK Home Office Fails to Handle Increased Flow of Migrants Via English Channel21 July, 18:30 GMT,Food scarcity has been a factor driving revolutions, coups, wars, and civil unrest throughout human history, and has been used expertly by foreign manipulators to spark crises and institute regime change throughout the 20th and early 21st centuries. Food insecurity was a critical factor in the so-called "Arab Spring" unrest which swept across the Middle East and North Africa in early 2010. That crisis, together with the US and NATO military interventions in Iraq and Afghanistan, helped spark the 2015 European migrant wave, which saw more than 1.3 million people making their way to the continent, sparking mass unrest and a host of other social ills and problems in the countries that were made to accept the newcomers.,Observers fear that the second time around, the situation could prove far more explosive.,“Europe is not prepared morally, technically, or politically to accept additional refugees. They already overstrained themselves with the Syrian crisis,” Elena Suponina, an advisor to the director of the Russian Institute for Strategic Studies and expert at the Russian International Affairs Council think tank, told Sputnik in an interview.,The West, Suponina believes, is not ready to “save” people from Africa and Asia in the event of a global food crisis which she says has been manufactured by the United States.,“The United States has always been interested in limiting the strength of the European economies. Besides being partners, they are also competitors. The US has always kept in mind that Europe is first and foremost a competitor,” the expert stressed.,Tiberio Graziani, chairman of Vision & Global Trends - an Italy-based international affairs think tank, echoed Suponina's concerns, suggesting that Europe is "by no means ready to handle new potential waves of migrants," and still reeling from the consequences of the 2015 crisis. At the same time, he said, hunger has been a "recurring theme" in a world dominated by the West and its political and economic systems of governance.,"The food crisis is mainly due to the predatory policies carried out - in recent decades - by the so-called Western system in the different corners of the world. The hyper-liberal-democratic policies of the West have favoured the large globalist interest groups which, similarly to the colonial past of the nineteenth century, have deconstructed the various economic-productive fabrics of many areas of the planet, producing misery and dependence. The sophisticated technology that could help the fate of millions of people, since in the hands of large producers, often tied to financial interests, has instead, paradoxically, exacerbated the problem. Non-state organizations such as the UN, beyond good speeches, have failed to find adequate solutions to the problem. The world as a whole could find solutions - to this challenge, as well as to others - only if world power were more evenly distributed. Only a new multipolar system that adopts - in both economic and political international issues - a solidarity and cooperative practice, antithetical to current hyperliberism, could save us. It can be noted that some initiatives taken by the BRICS countries are moving in this direction," Graziani stressed.,The academic also agreed with Suponina's analysis of Washington's interest in the current crisis.,"The interest of the United States is to maintain global hegemony. This can also involve the sacrifice of nations such as Ukraine or the Old Continent: in the context of the North American strategy, these would be 'side effects'. The internal situation of the EU would worsen further: Europe as a whole would become even weaker and more dependent on the US than it currently is," Graziani concluded.。    小红书员工身价又要涨了。                   10月17日，小红书正式宣布上调员工期权价格，并即时生效：                    调整后，授予价为25美元/股，行权价2美元/股，每股收益23美元。

B | 同时，在职回购价也会相应上调，具体以回购窗口开启时的通知为准。

C |                    这是今年小红书第三次上调期权价格，相比3月时的期权授予价已经翻倍。回想互联网黄金时代，期权激励被视为一张稳定的“梦想支票”，曾让很多打工人实现财务自由。小红书如此一幕，令人艳羡。                   小红书造富，今年期权三连涨                    “公司又香了，期权比股票账户涨得快。

D | ”社交媒体上，小红书员工难掩激动的心情分享。

E |                    回想今年3月，小红书将期权授予价从初始水平调整为13.5美元/股，三个月后期权授予价再次提升，达到18美元/股，行权价2美元/股，每股收益16美元。直到这一次的调整过后，2025年年内小红书期权价值就已经翻倍。

F |                              行权价是员工未来购买公司股票时所需支付的固定价格，它在期权授予时就已确定，直接影响到期权的内在价值。

G |                    期权价格上涨，意味着员工手中“未来购买权”变得更值钱了。

H | 那些手握千股的小红书员工，搭上上升的火箭，实实在在吃到了发展红利。

I |                    对于尚未上市的公司而言，回购是将“纸面富贵”提前变为“真金白银”的过程。这一次，小红书在职员工回购价格上涨，离职员工的期权回购价格也从10美元提升至17.5美元——不管在职还是离职，全员迎来了“身价上涨”。                   正如一位小红书离职员工在社交平台分享：“4月期权回购时，稳住了心态没参与。半年时间，收益高达75%，不愧是小红书。”当时他还劝说在职的同事，一定要把年终奖的现金换成期权。                   今年4月，小红书发布全员通知更新期权政策，其中推出年终奖兑换期权机制：入职满一年，绩效评分3.5（含）以上，就能以“内部优惠价”将年终奖兑换成期权。                   “选择比努力更重要，准备提前换车。”这些天社交平台充斥着小红书员工的动情分享。特别是对于早期加入的员工来说，这波上涨无疑是一份丰厚回报。                   估值超2000亿，身后投资人赚翻了                    这一幕背后，是小红书估值肉眼可见的上涨了。                   据彭博社报道，金沙江创投（GSR）旗下某投资基金在近期的一份交易文件显示，小红书的估值在短短三个月内大幅上升19%，达到310亿美元（约超2200亿人民币），再次突破峰值。                   今年6月，小红书的相关交易估值显示为260亿美元；1月老股转让时估值则为200亿美元；去年7月，小红书出售老股估值170亿美元——当整个一级市场面临估值承压，小红书却一路逆势上涨。                   回想2013年，小红书在上海诞生，第一间办公室是在上海复兴中路的一间居民楼里。毛文超和瞿芳联合创办这家最初的“购物指南社区”时，大概也未曾预料到今天的增长，正如小红书背后重要投资方之一，金沙江创投主管合伙人朱啸虎曾在访谈中回忆：“小红书一开始是很不起眼的。”                    创业十几年浮浮沉沉，如今小红书已经成为众多用户的生活方式之一。                   今年1月，小红书迎来一场“泼天富贵”——伴随“TikTok难民潮”，大批海外用户涌入小红书，小红书一度冲到App Store美区排行榜Top 1。

J | 据第三方数据显示，2025年年中，小红书的月活用户已突破3.5亿大关，目前主要通过广告和电商业务获得收入。                   今年用户暴涨带来了老股价值的节节攀升，身后VC/PE开始期待回报盛宴。                   纵观下来，小红书背后的投资者阵容堪称豪华，且与小红书渊源颇深——真格基金是小红书的天使投资方，合伙人方爱之与毛文超是斯坦福大学的校友；金沙江创投对小红书进行多轮投资；纪源资本是小红书B轮融资的领投方，管理合伙人童士豪还曾在2011年面试过毛文超；此外还有元生资本、天图投资、腾讯、阿里巴巴、K11 Investment、淡马锡、红杉中国、高瓴、中信资本、DST等。                   投资界获悉，一家知名消费投资机构过去一年通过卖小红书老股收回约10亿人民币，落袋部分收益。正如字节跳动一样，小红书一旦成功IPO势必造就一场浩浩荡荡的VC盛宴。

K |                    那些幸运的人                    想起互联网汹涌澎湃的时代里，成千上万手握期权的打工人，靠着公司的成功IPO实现财富自由。                   2014年9月19日，阿里巴巴登陆纽约证券交易所，据新闻晨报当时的报道，阿里上市造就了一万多名千万富翁——据估算，当时阿里约20000名员工中，持股员工约为11000多人，按照当时上市后的股价计算，这些持股员工平均可套现将近422万美元。

L |                    此外腾讯、小米、美团等一个个超级互联网公司，带着众多打工人走向了财富之路。公司上市敲钟之时，正是员工身家倍增之日。                   如今万众期待中的还有字节跳动，员工手中的期权随着公司估值的提升而价值大增。今年10月10日，字节跳动向员工发出年内第二次期权回购通知：在职员工回购价为200.4美元/股；离职员工回购价为180.4美元/股。                   字节上一次回购为今年4月，当时在职员工回购价为189.9美元/股，离职员工回购价为161.42美元/股——半年之内大幅攀升。                   “我大学之后认为财富自由有几个路径：第一个路径是买彩票，第二个是买房子，第三个是找到一个好公司拿期权，第四个路径是创业。”小鹏汽车董事长何小鹏在罗永浩的播客中谈到。他回忆自己1999年加入亚信公司的幸运——拿到了1000股的股权，第二年亚信就上市了，“当时如果能卖，可以在广州买两套房”。                   不过，空白支票并非都能变现，面对上市之后的财富缩水、股价不及预期、回购条件是否满足、纳税等等的问题，期权有时候也成了烫手山芋。当年蚂蚁集团IPO暂停，打破变现预期还历历在目。                   时也，命也。大厂打工人依然憧憬，那个一夜致富的机会。

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